2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The National Hurricane Center starts issuing regular 2025 Tropical Weather Outlooks in mid-May 2025. This is the August 7 update.

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Season Probability (pie chart)

  • Above normal: 50% chance
  • Near normal: 35% chance
  • Below normal: 15% chance

Named storms: 13-18

Hurricanes: 5-9

Major hurricanes: 2-5

Be prepared: Visit hurricanes.gov and follow NOAA on X at @NWS and @NHC_Atlantic

August 2025


Forecasters from NOAA’s National Weather Service updated the number of expected named storms to 13-18 (with winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 5-9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), including 2-5 major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).

The adjusted ranges are for the entire season from June 1 though November 30, and are inclusive of the four named tropical storms that have already formed. Atlantic basin tropical storm activity is expected to be elevated due to a combination of factors, including warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Seas, and an active West African Monsoon. ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue, meaning there is neither an El Nino nor La Nina to influence this season’s storm activity.

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