2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The National Hurricane Center starts issuing regular 2025 Tropical Weather Outlooks in mid-May 2025.
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Season Probability (pie chart)
- About normal: 60% chance
- Near normal: 30% chance
- Below normal: 10% chance
Named storms: 13-19
Hurricanes: 6-10
Major hurricanes: 3-5
Be prepared: Visit hurricanes.gov and follow NOAA on X at @NWS and @NHC_Atlantic
May 2025
The season is expected to be above normal – due to a confluence of factors, including continued ENSO-neutral conditions, warmer than average ocean temperatures, forecasts for weak wind shear, and the potential for higher activity from the West African Monsoon, a primary starting point for Atlantic hurricanes. All of these elements tend to favor tropical storm formation.
The high activity era continues in the Atlantic Basin, featuring high-heat content in the ocean and reduced trade winds. The higher-heat content provides more energy to fuel storm development, while weaker winds allow the storms to develop without disruption.
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Further Resources
- National Hurricane Preparedness — National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- National Weather Service on X (Twitter): @NWS
- National Hurricane Center for the Atlantic Basin on X (Twitter): @NHC_Atlantic