2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The National Hurricane Center starts issuing regular 2025 Tropical Weather Outlooks in mid-May 2025.

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Season Probability (pie chart)

  • About normal: 60% chance
  • Near normal: 30% chance
  • Below normal: 10% chance

Named storms: 13-19

Hurricanes: 6-10

Major hurricanes: 3-5

Be prepared: Visit hurricanes.gov and follow NOAA on X at @NWS and @NHC_Atlantic

May 2025


The season is expected to be above normal – due to a confluence of factors, including continued ENSO-neutral conditions, warmer than average ocean temperatures, forecasts for weak wind shear, and the potential for higher activity from the West African Monsoon, a primary starting point for Atlantic hurricanes. All of these elements tend to favor tropical storm formation.

The high activity era continues in the Atlantic Basin, featuring high-heat content in the ocean and reduced trade winds. The higher-heat content provides more energy to fuel storm development, while weaker winds allow the storms to develop without disruption.

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