2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The National Hurricane Center starts issuing regular 2025 Tropical Weather Outlooks in mid-May 2025. This is the August 7 update.
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Season Probability (pie chart)
- Above normal: 50% chance
- Near normal: 35% chance
- Below normal: 15% chance
Named storms: 13-18
Hurricanes: 5-9
Major hurricanes: 2-5
Be prepared: Visit hurricanes.gov and follow NOAA on X at @NWS and @NHC_Atlantic
August 2025
Forecasters from NOAA’s National Weather Service updated the number of expected named storms to 13-18 (with winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 5-9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), including 2-5 major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).
The adjusted ranges are for the entire season from June 1 though November 30, and are inclusive of the four named tropical storms that have already formed. Atlantic basin tropical storm activity is expected to be elevated due to a combination of factors, including warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Seas, and an active West African Monsoon. ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue, meaning there is neither an El Nino nor La Nina to influence this season’s storm activity.
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Further Resources
- National Hurricane Preparedness — National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- National Weather Service on X (Twitter): @NWS
- National Hurricane Center for the Atlantic Basin on X (Twitter): @NHC_Atlantic